How early should you leave

Archived study

Models commute uncertainty and departure buffers under ordinary-day and accident-day assumptions. The final corrected run compares daily lateness with a weekly reliability requirement and saves a sensitivity table.

Interpretation and limits

The distributions and accident probability are hypothetical, inferred from a vague commute description rather than observed trips. The independent-mornings assumption and tail model materially affect the buffer.

Package and provenance

The original .science export and matching poster are preserved byte-for-byte from the upstream case. The package contains the conversation, session metadata, and the resources inventoried in its internal manifest. This introduction summarizes the archived record; the research, external sources, and model evaluations were not rerun for this import.